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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
With the weigh-ins complete, TJ appears sharp and has shown himself well prepared for the 125lb division. On the feet he should have an important advantage over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, together with his unorthodox style, will let him land severe volume contrary to the more limited wrestler. Additionally leg kicks are a mortal option against the front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will probably be needing takedowns and significant top control if he’s to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should limit Cejudo’s opportunities to take and on the floor he is going to be difficult to control for long periods. Overall the path to victory looks slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who carries good cardio and far superior volume to win over 5 rounds. The bet will be TJ Dillashaw to function as double champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some flaws to their game but stylistically this is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the feet Vanzant is unorthodox but likely faster with more volume. Ostovich includes a more straightforward fashion but neither fighter is likely to land considerable harm here. The strength and size of Ostovich will probably be a major advantage on the earth where both women tend to bring the battle. Vanzant is tenacious but requires risky options and leaves a great deal of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise here and her exceptional control means she’ll spend a great deal more time on top or at dominant positions. Expect a back and forth struggle where we get good value about the underdog odds.
Bet = Ostovich in 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the”Violence Queen” is making her debut after an impressive run since the KSW winner. Matching up using Calderwood she’s the advantage in many areas. The aggression and power of Lipski’s combos in the pocket will probably be overpowering for Calderwood who lacks pace and head movement. This battle is probably to perform out on the feet but even on the mat it is Lipski with the better skills. Calderwood is coming from a”blessed” submission win in a fight where she had been having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she’s been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though appears to be very durable and fights with heart. At 24 years old she will be revealing huge improvements between fights.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) chances. Risk 5 Units to win 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against an increasing prospect. Hernandez brings a design that’s proven against Cowboy with his fast start and relentless pressure. Whether this fight goes the distance it’ll be Hernandez pushing the speed, holding Cerrone against the fence and procuring takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to victory is snatching a entry off his back but that is a little chance against a strong wrestler. The power, athleticism, childhood and fashion of Hernandez will be a great deal for the veteran to manage with only 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is generally a slow starter and the drop back to 155lb is not likely to help his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
This is a rematch fight from the very first back in 2014, which Benavidez won via decision. Now it’s Ortiz that has proven the newest improvements in his game, currently riding an impressive win streak. Benavidez is still a top contender but does look like he’s marginally diminishing in his current appearances. For example an underdog Ortiz has a couple of paths to success. He will be at a disadvantage on the feet concerning quantity, but packs considerable power. Benavidez was wobbled consistently lately fights suggesting his durability is fading. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the struggle as Ortiz brings a relentless grinding pace. This ought to be a close fight that looks to be lined too broad.
Bet = Ortiz at 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is going up as a late replacement to undertake the tough veteran Glover. On the toes the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed considerably to his later years and with his durability evaporating his lack of head movement is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not famous for his striking yet found enormous victory himself on the toes in his last fight against Glover. The obvious dilemma for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns however if he doesn’t get an early submission it’ll be challenging to keep up with the younger, faster and more athletic Roberson. Additionally if he can’t get it into the mat his options look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a solid bet.
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